Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 55.775580 63.629894 71.738564 80.701657 90.298880 100.236310 111.273219
2025-04-13 42.393695 53.299390 65.167271 78.901048 94.223023 110.669834 129.539749
2025-04-20 37.088842 49.978393 64.524981 81.870270 101.722282 123.494295 148.945016
2025-04-27 32.566629 46.797685 63.394744 83.704567 107.451316 133.952694 165.393605
2025-05-04 27.774002 42.666992 60.623927 83.159274 110.044375 140.532955 177.189372
2025-05-11 23.675428 38.915631 57.904858 82.313237 111.978348 146.108236 187.628160
2025-05-18 20.871489 36.515888 56.593584 82.943045 115.473398 153.349212 199.869731
2025-05-25 18.019042 33.737685 54.552811 82.457591 117.451826 158.675933 209.779820
2025-06-01 15.852658 31.680731 53.265290 82.764598 120.274317 164.913321 220.691558
2025-06-08 13.523525 29.126891 51.115155 81.798418 121.388083 169.002311 228.984411
2025-06-15 12.211304 27.968895 50.765758 83.094896 125.273450 176.403182 241.202699
2025-06-22 11.086898 26.982080 50.567963 84.525992 129.284662 183.932986 253.568610
2025-06-29 9.459005 25.004213 48.858647 83.877702 130.633059 188.231234 262.117908
2025-07-06 7.667000 22.494077 46.195867 81.792092 130.023052 190.039209 267.602595
2025-07-13 7.288395 22.491619 47.266822 84.863728 136.142691 200.236128 283.339803
2025-07-20 6.678501 21.973695 47.501114 86.731320 140.662890 208.429388 296.635470
2025-07-27 5.638745 20.457873 46.079914 86.175322 141.915464 212.474049 304.807408
2025-08-03 4.670443 18.915339 44.503916 85.310990 142.692214 215.872300 312.150864
2025-08-10 4.069774 18.067288 43.995026 85.954338 145.472071 221.805374 322.636161
2025-08-17 3.365783 16.834641 42.757233 85.458465 146.658227 225.669436 330.527053
2025-08-24 2.859274 15.975023 42.091592 85.772062 148.923900 230.906591 340.130640
2025-08-31 2.259535 14.703475 40.611772 84.785110 149.344708 233.724756 346.675631
2025-09-07 1.988780 14.299539 40.652937 86.109439 152.972813 240.712898 358.486620